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PH population projected 142 M in 2045

The government celebrated the birth of a baby girl on July 27 as the symbolic 100th million Filipino to mark the country’s population milestone.

Going forward, the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) forecasts the population to increase to 142 million by the year 2045, according to the latest 2010 census-based population projections.

Around 50 million people would be added in a span of 35 years.  This increase in numbers would take place even if the average annual growth rate is projected to decline significantly, from 1.73 percent during 2010-2015 to 0.65 percent during 2040-2045, said PSA.  The Philippine population grew by 1.9 percent annually during the decade 2000-2010.

PSA said the graying of the country’s population is expected to continue over the projection period.  In 2010, the population aged 60 years and over comprised 6.7 percent of the total population.  This group is projected to account for about a tenth of the total population in 2025 and about one-sixth in 2045.

The proportion of those aged 65 years and over, which was 4.3 percent in 2010, is estimated to increase to 6.5 percent in 2025, and to 11.4 percent in 2045.

On the other end, the proportion of children aged 0-14 years is projected to fall.  In 2010, for every three persons in the population, one belonged to the age group 0-14.  By 2045, the corresponding proportion would be one in five.  Even the absolute number is projected to be reduced from 31.3 million in 2010 to 30.0 million by 2045, said PSA.

Meanwhile, the percentage of children under 5 years of age is estimated to decrease rapidly, from 11.6 percent in 2010 to 6.7 percent in 2045, a 42 percent reduction in 35 years.

The working-age population,15-64 years, accounted for more than three-fifths of the total population, (62.0%) in 2010, but would comprise more than two-thirds (67.5 %) by 2045.

Women in the child-bearing ages, 15 to 49 years, who made up about a quarter of the total population (25.7 %) would account for a similar proportion (24.9%) in 2045.